The Long Tail Of Violence
It’s been a few days of “long tail” talk here at MaisonBisson. Stories about popularity vs. the long tail and aesthetics of the short head are just below. Here’s one on the violence of the long tail.
John Robb at Global Guerrillas wrote about the “dark side” of the long tail in a March 18 post to his blog. It’s a touchy one, so I’d better explain Robb’s point in his own words:
The concept of the Long Tail is that globalization, new tools of production, and the Internet have made it possible to radically increase the supply and demand of niche products (in certain product categories).
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Traditionally, warfare (the ability to change society through violence) has been limited to nation-states (except in rare cases). States had a monopoly on violence. The result was a limited, truncated distribution of violence (a power law).
He notes that the same technologies that allow previously unknown writers and musicians to sell well on the internet are also allowing “niche producers of violence” to flourish. The result is a fast growing supply and demand for violence.
Big concepts (such as a struggle between Islam and the US), not championed by states, have supercharged niche suppliers like al Qaeda and its clones. In some cases, the niche producer creates its own demand (see Transnational Gangs) or through its activites create demand for other niche producers (see Primary Loyalties).
He’s even got a powerpoint to make it clear.
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[...] Some time ago I pointed to John Robb’s discussion of the potential for the network to amplify the threat of violence from otherwise un-connected and un-organized individuals. Now Noah Shachtman at DefenseTech is writing about “open source insurgents.†It used to be that a small group of ideological-driven guerilla leaders would spread information, tactics, training, and cash to their followers. No more. Internet-enabled insurgents with only the loosest of real-world connections can now share all of that freely online. These guys don’t have to like each other. They don’t have to agree with one another. They don’t even have to interact, really. All they have to do is post material to the Net. [...]
[...] Now that we’ve recognized the long tail of violence and the “open source insurgency†and seen the Hezbollah missile threat, it’s hard not to imagine a growing threat from enemy or terrorist missiles. In short, as technology becomes cheaper, the weapons people can use against us become more complex. [...]